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Risk ManagementInteractive

Risk/Reward Ratio

How much you stand to gain compared with how much you stand to lose on a trade.

Also called: rr · r:r · r/r · reward to risk · risk to reward

Written by Javier Sánchez Ros

In plain language

The ratio compares the distance from entry to target against the distance from entry to stop. Risk $2 to make $6 and the ratio is 1:3.

It is a property of the trade’s geometry alone. Account size and position size do not change it — only where you place the entry, the stop and the target.

Paired with your win rate, it tells you whether a strategy makes money. At 1:3 you only need to be right about 25% of the time to break even before costs. At 1:1 you need better than 50%.

The formula

Risk/Reward Ratio

Reward Per Share ÷ Risk Per Share

Reward Per Share
Distance from entry to take profit
Risk Per Share
Distance from entry to stop loss
Break-even Win Rate
1 ÷ (1 + Ratio) × 100

Worked through

A 1:2 strategy that wins 40% of the time, over 100 trades

40 wins at +2R
+80R
60 losses at −1R
−60R
Net
+20R
Break-even win rate for 1:2
33.3%

Losing six trades out of every ten and still finishing ahead is not a trick. It is what a 1:2 ratio buys: each win covers two losses, so the strategy only needs to be right a third of the time to stand still, and anything above that is profit.

This is the calculation that settles arguments about entries. A trader agonising over a setup that wins 55% of the time at 1:1 is doing worse than one taking a sloppier 40% setup at 1:2 — the second makes 20R over a hundred trades and the first makes 10R.

The honest version has costs in it. Spread and commission come off every trade, and they come off the small side hardest: a 1:2 that costs 0.1R a round turn is really 1.9 up against 1.1 down, and the break-even win rate creeps from 33.3% to about 36.7%. That is still a comfortable margin, but it is not free, and on a 1:1 strategy the same costs are the difference between profitable and not.

Change the numbers

This is the concept as a working tool. Edit any field and watch what moves — that relationship is the thing worth remembering.

Try it yourself
Direction
Risk Per Share
$2
Reward Per Share
$6
Risk / Reward
1 : 3

Break even at a 25% win rate

At 1 : 3 you only need to be right 25% of the time to break even. Spread and commissions push that threshold a little higher.

Open the full risk/reward calculator

Seen on a chart

A trade with reward three times the size of the riskREWARD · $6.00RISK · $2.00TARGET$56.00ENTRY$50.00STOP$48.001 : 3 — break even by winning 25% of the timeBands are drawn to scale
Reward is measured entry to target, risk is measured entry to stop. Here the reward band is three times the height of the risk band — a 1:3 trade.

Why it matters

It converts a vague sense that a trade "looks good" into a number you can test against your actual win rate. Most losing strategies fail here, not at the entry.

Common mistakes

  • Moving the target further out to manufacture a better ratio on paper.
  • Chasing high ratios with targets price realistically never reaches.
  • Judging the ratio without accounting for spread and commissions, which hit the small side hardest.

Put it to work

Keep exploring

These concepts are connected. Understanding one usually makes the next one easier.